Analysts Hopeful on Upcoming Cattle on Feed Report

BT_Feedlot_Cattle_Hay_Stack_Water_Tank
BT_Feedlot_Cattle_Hay_Stack_Water_Tank

USDA will release it’s latest cattle on feed numbers Friday at 3 p.m.

The trade is expecting on feed, placements, and marketing to all go up.

Big jumps are expected in both placements and marketings, partly because of a couple extra days during the month, and also because of price and availability. 

Analysts predict the findings of the report won’t be too bullish, and believe there could be big numbers.

“If you look at the bounce we’ve had off of lows recently, it’s got to be mostly technical in nature,” said Ted Seifried, vice president and chief market strategist of Zaner Ag Hedge. “We did have higher cash trade, but that happened after we already had been bouncing off our lows.”

The latest Sterling Profit Tracker shows improvement ahead of the upcoming report, but still in the red. 

It shows average feed yard losses are $90/head, half of what it was one week ago. 

A recent rally of $4 in fed cattle prices are helping drive margins toward breakeven, however, it could be worse. In 2014, feeders were losing nearly $275 on every animal.

 

Latest News

Markets: Cash Cattle Rebound, Futures Notch Four-Week High
Markets: Cash Cattle Rebound, Futures Notch Four-Week High

After a mostly sluggish April, market-ready fed cattle saw a solid rally in the North and steady money in the South. Futures markets began to look past the psychologically bearish H5N1 virus news.

APHIS To Require Electronic Animal ID for Certain Cattle and Bison
APHIS To Require Electronic Animal ID for Certain Cattle and Bison

APHIS issued its final rule on animal ID that has been in place since 2013, switching from solely visual tags to tags that are both electronically and visually readable for certain classes of cattle moving interstate.

How Do Wind, Solar, Renewable Energy Effect Land Values?
How Do Wind, Solar, Renewable Energy Effect Land Values?

“If we step back and look at what that means for farmland, we're taking our energy production system from highly centralized production facilities and we have to distribute it,” says David Muth.

Ranchers Concerned Over Six Confirmed Wolf Kills in Colorado
Ranchers Concerned Over Six Confirmed Wolf Kills in Colorado

Six wolf depredations of cattle have been confirmed in Colorado from reintroduced wolves.

Profit Tracker: Packer Losses Mount; Pork Margins Solid
Profit Tracker: Packer Losses Mount; Pork Margins Solid

Cattle and hog feeders find dramatically lower feed costs compared to last year with higher live anumal sales prices. Beef packers continue to struggle with negative margins.

Applying the Soil Health Principles to Fit Your Operation
Applying the Soil Health Principles to Fit Your Operation

What’s your context? One of the 6 soil health principles we discuss in this week’s episode is knowing your context. What’s yours? What is your goal? What’s the reason you run cattle?