Mackey: Packers Will Use Basis to Build Inventory

.
.
(CBP)

It’s not as much fun to comment on the cattle trade when we aren’t discussing record high prices.  However, this is a breather we have all been expecting. 

Given the prices at which most cattlemen marked sales, they were still better than expectations for the time period when these cattle went on feed. 

Last week’s national report had 111,665 head of Cash and Grid cattle trading, that would be 22,971 head behind last week. Influenced by slower futures, the South moved cattle primarily at $175 per cwt, with a few outside sales lower and for extended delivery. 

The North saw a larger range with sales from $287-290 per cwt dressed and on the live side from $179-183 per cwt, mostly $180 live.  Again, the lower end of the range was for extended delivery—Monday’s report will have the details. 

I spoke to this a couple weeks ago, be cognizant as packers will look to use the basis to build his inventory and build his leverage. 

Lots of commentary on the Cattle on Feed Report out Friday.  We still have the fewest number of cattle on feed since 2017. Marketings for the last half of this year are still projected at or below that same time period. 

Looking ahead, cattle feeders hedged in June will be incentivized by out front trades.  The packers will look to build their inventory and secure their leverage in the weeks ahead. 

A native of Torrington, WY, Brodie Mackey joined Consolidated Beef Producers in the spring of 2013 after earning his B.S. from the University of Nebraska-Lincoln. Brodie’s focus at CBP includes customer development, cattle marketing and evaluation in Nebraska, Northeast Colorado, South Dakota and Wyoming.  For more about Consolidated Beef Producers visit here.

 

Latest News

Markets: Cash Cattle Rebound, Futures Notch Four-Week High
Markets: Cash Cattle Rebound, Futures Notch Four-Week High

After a mostly sluggish April, market-ready fed cattle saw a solid rally in the North and steady money in the South. Futures markets began to look past the psychologically bearish H5N1 virus news.

APHIS To Require Electronic Animal ID for Certain Cattle and Bison
APHIS To Require Electronic Animal ID for Certain Cattle and Bison

APHIS issued its final rule on animal ID that has been in place since 2013, switching from solely visual tags to tags that are both electronically and visually readable for certain classes of cattle moving interstate.

How Do Wind, Solar, Renewable Energy Effect Land Values?
How Do Wind, Solar, Renewable Energy Effect Land Values?

“If we step back and look at what that means for farmland, we're taking our energy production system from highly centralized production facilities and we have to distribute it,” says David Muth.

Ranchers Concerned Over Six Confirmed Wolf Kills in Colorado
Ranchers Concerned Over Six Confirmed Wolf Kills in Colorado

Six wolf depredations of cattle have been confirmed in Colorado from reintroduced wolves.

Profit Tracker: Packer Losses Mount; Pork Margins Solid
Profit Tracker: Packer Losses Mount; Pork Margins Solid

Cattle and hog feeders find dramatically lower feed costs compared to last year with higher live anumal sales prices. Beef packers continue to struggle with negative margins.

Applying the Soil Health Principles to Fit Your Operation
Applying the Soil Health Principles to Fit Your Operation

What’s your context? One of the 6 soil health principles we discuss in this week’s episode is knowing your context. What’s yours? What is your goal? What’s the reason you run cattle?