Profit Tracker: Packer/Feeder Margin Spread Narrows

Last week’s $2 rally in cash cattle prices helped narrow the spread between feedyard losses and packer profits.

Cattle feeding losses declined with higher cash sales.
Cattle feeding losses declined with higher cash sales.
(FJ)

The $2 rally in cash cattle last week help reduce cattle feeding losses $39 per head, leaving the cash margins at negative $164 per head. Packer margins saw a $28 per head reduction, leaving profits at $386 per head, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker. The same week a year ago Sterling estimated feedyard losses at $48 per head while packer profits were $173.

(Note: The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are intended only as a benchmark for the average cash costs of feeding cattle and hogs.)

Feeder cattle represent 72% of the cost of finishing a steer compared to 71% a year ago.

The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are calculated by Sterling Marketing Inc., Vale, Ore.

Farrow-to-finish pork producers saw their margins decline $7 per head with average losses of $28. Lean carcass prices traded at $47.10 per cwt., $2.63 per cwt. lower than the previous week. A year ago pork producer margins were negative $11 per head. Pork packers saw average profits of $35 per head, steady with the previous week.

Sterling Marketing president John Nalivka projects cash profit margins for cow-calf producers in 2019 will average $138 per cow. That would be 14% lower compared to the $161 estimated average profit for 2018. Estimated average cow-calf margins were $164 in 2017, $176 in 2016, and $438 per cow in 2015.

For feedyards, Nalivka projects an average profit of $54 per head in 2019, which would be $30 better than the average of $24 per head in 2018. Nalivka expects packer margins to average about $174 per head in 2019, about $5 higher than in 2018.

For farrow-to-finish pork producers, Nalivka projects an average profit of $11 per head in 2019, as compared with an average profit of $1.35 per head in 2018. Pork packers are projected to earn $12 per head in 2019, about $8 less than the $20 per head profits of 2018.

Related Stories:

Packer/Feeder Margin Now Exceeds $600 Per Head

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