Derrell Peel - Oklahoma State University

Extension Livestock Marketing Specialist

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Peel says the best thing politicians can do to help cattle and beef markets is to shut up and let the markets work.
Oklahoma State’s Peel reports data indicates little heifer retention while a slow herd rebuilding may be beginning.
The January 1, 2024, beef cow herd inventory was 28.22 million head, down 2.5 percent year over year and a decrease of 3.47 million head or 10.9 percent lower, from the cyclical peak in 2019.
Stocker production is tricky in the current market and stocker cattle will be expensive this fall, even more so if wheat pasture is abundant.
Despite the smallest beef cow inventory since 1961 there are no indications that herd rebuilding is underway.
While wholesale beef values have declined recently, price movement within boxed beef products reflect the unusual environment in today’s cattle and beef markets.
Cattle on feed numbers were fractionally higher on July 1, despite the smallest June placement total since 2016.
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Beef demand usually slows between the July 4 and Labor Day holidays as both summer grilling and high-end restaurant traffic slows in the heat of the summer.
With the first half of 2024 in the books, it’s worth evaluating the first six months and what to expect for the remainder of the year.