Profit Tracker: Ahead of the Slump?
Cattle feeders found average profits near $427 per head the week ending July 1, a $10 advance from the previous week. The week’s 5-area direct price was $182.14 per cwt. a decline of $1.35 per cwt., which is $35 per cwt. higher (+20%) than the same week a year ago, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker.
Beef packers found solid profits of $156 per head last week, down $61 per head from the previous week and down $12 from last year. Wholesale beef prices posted an average of $324 per cwt., down about $7 from the previous week. The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are calculated by Sterling Marketing, Vale, Ore.
Cattle sold last week carried a total feed cost of $571 per head, down about $15 per head from the previous week, but 15% higher than the $487 feed costs for cattle sold the same week a year ago.
Cattle marketed last week had a breakeven of $151.63 per cwt., while cattle placed on feed last week have a breakeven of $176.65 per cwt. Cattle placed last week are calculated to have a purchase price for 750-800 lb. feeder steers at $235.16 per cwt., and feed costs of $444 per head. The feeder steer price is 27% higher than last year.
The estimated total cost for finishing a steer last week was $2,122 per head, up 12% from last year’s estimate of $1,866 per head.
Fed cattle slaughter totaled an estimated 504,896 head, about 4,000 head more than the previous week and 52,000 more than the same week last year. Packing plant capacity utilization was estimated at 88.3% compared to 87.3% last year.
Farrow-to-finish hog producers saw profits of about $17 per head last week, about $4 per head less than the previous week. Pork producers saw profits of $84 per head the same week a year ago. Lean carcass prices averaged $95.98 per cwt., down $1.72 per cwt. from the previous week.
Pork packers closed the week $1 per head in the black after losing an average of $12 per head last week. Last year pork packers were losing about $41 per head. Hog slaughter was estimated at 2.332 million head, down 40,000 from the week before and up 49,000 head from last year.
Pork packer capacity utilization was estimated at 85.6% compared to 82.5% last year.
(Note: The Sterling Beef Profit Tracker calculates an average beef cutout value for the week in its estimates for feedyard and packer margins. Other prices in the weekly Profit Tracker also are calculated weekly averages. Feedyard margins are calculated on a cash basis only with no adjustment for risk management practices. The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are intended only as a benchmark for the average cash costs of feeding cattle and hogs. Sterling Marketing is a private, independent beef and pork consulting firm not associated with any packing company or livestock feeding enterprise.)