Cattle Inventory Estimates Show Expected Decline

Most analysts expect the nation’s cattle herd to be 1.5% lower compared to year ago.

We’ll know tomorrow afternoon when USDA’s Cattle Inventory report is released, but most analysts expect the nation’s cattle herd to be 1.5% lower compared to year ago.

That estimate of a reduced herd is expected; however, what’s not known is how much the drought in the Southern Plains impacted the cattle herds in those states. It will be interesting to see where the cattle declines were and where those animals moved to.

With this expected dip in numbers, most cattle industry analysts anticipate the herd to start rebuilding in 2012-2013. Rebuilding, however, will hinge on weather patterns this spring and summer and into 2013.

Cattle Inventory Estimates

Average of
Estimates

Range of Estimates

All cattle & calves
98.5
97.4- 99.1
Annual calf crop
99.1
98.4- 99.5
Total cows/heifers that have calved
98.1
96.4- 99.2
beef cows/heifers that have calved
97.5
95.5- 98.8

milk cows/heifers that have calved

100.2
98.8-100.9
Heifers 500 pounds and over
99.6
98.3-101.1
beef replacement heifers
97.8
96.0- 99.8
milk replacement heifers
101.8
100.7-103.1
other heifers
99.4
96.8-101.8
Steers 500 pounds and over
98.7
97.7- 99.4
Bulls 500 pounds and over
97.5
95.2- 99.4
Calves under 500 pounds
97.9
97.2- 99.3

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