Markets
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Brad Kooima, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says the uptrend line on the cattle charts is also starting to be violated but that isn’t the only thing he’s watching for a signal of a bigger correction.
Market access obstacles continued to weigh heavily on exports of U.S. beef, while pork exports accounted for a larger share of production, USMEF says.
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Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures are back into new contract and all-time highs after showing considerable resilience last week and despite a selloff in the equities. Grains sell off on tariff concerns.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures saw end of month profit taking on Thursday and some follow through selling to start Friday.
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Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures gapped lower on the opening after a human case of New World screwworm (NWS) was announced over the weekend.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the placements figure was slightly bearish and will likely mean a lower opening on Monday but the break is likely to be bought.
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle fundamentals look supportive through fourth quarter, while corn and soybeans are running into chart resistance.
Check out the Sterling Marketing Profit Tracker for week of August 16.
As the dairy industry continues adapting to market demands, there is hope that current positive trends will benefit producers for the foreseeable future.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the big losses in the cattle market on Thursday were tied to concerns ahead of USDA’s New World screwworm (NWS) announcement. Grains are bouncing on value and technical buying.
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Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says there were signs in the cattle market prior to Friday’s sell-off indicating the market might be getting toppy. However, does the market negate the reversals like it has in the past?
Scott Varilek, Kooima Kooima Varilek, says cattle saw some early profit taking pressure after contract and record highs again Thursday. However, the cattle futures have been resilient and every break seems to get bought, which is a good sign of a bull market.
Market analysts agree there are only a handful of factors that could slow down or stop the incredible rally in the cattle market.
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Brad Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says cattle futures started higher early Monday on the heels of record cash. Grains tried to bounce but may have a tough time holding any gains with favorable weather, big yield ideas and trade uncertainty.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says live and feeder cattle futures are trying to recover after an ugly day Thursday that ended with bearish reversals. Grains are mixed on favorable weather and tariff news.
Check out the Sterling Marketing Profit Tracker for week of July 25.
Economists further breakdown USDA’s Cattle on Feed Report and Cattle Inventory Report that were released on Friday. The Cattle Inventory Report showed the smallest U.S. herd in history and a smaller calf crop, plus the Cattle on Feed Report confirmed continued tightening numbers on feed.
Joe Kooima of Kooima Kooima Varilek says both live and feeder cattle futures gapped higher into all-time and contract highs again on Monday morning on the heels of the bullish USDA Cattle on Feed and Cattle Inventory Reports. Grains opened lower as weather is trumping export and trade news.
Scott Varilek with Kooima Kooima Varilek says both live and feeder cattle futures had a nice recovery and got within striking distance of the all-time highs set earlier in the week.
Derrell Peel, Oklahoma State University extension livestock marketing specialist, says USDA’s Cattle on Feed Report was friendly. The Cattle Inventory Report indicated confirms historically tight supplies will stay around for a while.
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With tight supplies and a strong demand, cull cow prices continue to set records.
Brad Kooima with Kooima Kooima Varilek says the cattle futures opened lower on Monday on follow through selling after the bearish reversals scored on Friday. Corn and soybeans fall with rains over the weekend in the Corn Belt.