Markets: Seasonal Bias Sends Cattle Lower; COF Called Neutral

Fed cattle traded lower for the second consecutive week as mid-summer beef demand softens. Friday’s Cattle on Feed report was mostly as expected.

Feedlot
Feedlot
(Shelby Chesnut)

Fed cattle traded lower in all regions in moderate volumes. Cash trade in the North occurred at $196 per cwt. and $310 dressed, both $2 lower than the previous week. Trade in the South was at $187 to $188 per cwt., $1 lower than the previous week.

Feeder cattle sold mixed from $4 lower to $2 higher. Calves also sold mixed from $5 lower to $2 higher. Market cows sold steady to $5 lower.

Wholesale beef prices moved significantly lower for the week. Choice boxed beef closed Friday at $313.83 per cwt., $8.23 lower for the week. Select boxed beef closed Friday at $298.80 per cwt., $3.51 lower for the week.

At the CME, August live cattle futures rose 85 cents to $183.10, nearer the session high and on the week up 72 1/2 cents. August feeder cattle futures fell 62 1/2 cents to $255.60, nearer the session high and for the week down $3.05.

Estimated weekly cattle slaughter was 584,000 head, down 42,000 head from last year. The year-to-date total was estimated at 17.282 million head, down 4.5% from a year earlier.

Cattle on Feed

Friday’s USDA Cattle on Feed report found 11.304 million head on feed, 100.5% of a year ago and nearly steady with the 5-year average. Placements in June totaled 1.564 million head, down 6.8% from last year. Marketings totaled 1.786 million head, down 8.7% on two fewer slaughter days in June. Analysts believe traders will view the report as neutral to slightly positive for futures markets.

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Drovers_Logo_No-Tagline (1632x461)
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