Profit Tracker: Cattle in the Red, Hog Rally Continues

Profit margins for cattle and hogs continue trending in opposite directions as feedyard closeouts slipped below breakeven and hog margins saw another boost from higher prices.

Hogs Cattle
Hogs Cattle
(FJ)

Average feedyard margins slipped below breakeven for the first time this year, with calculated losses of about $1 per head. Hog producers found average profits of $56 per head as the rally in hog prices continued.

Feedyard margins declined $16 per head last week despite cash cattle prices that were slightly higher than the previous week at $114.28 per cwt. A year ago cattle feeders lost an average of $90 per head the third week of March, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker.

Average closeouts saw total costs for finishing a steer about $26 per head higher than the previous week at $1,555, including about $10 more per head for feed and $16 more for feeder cattle.

Packer margins declined $5 per head to an average of $320. The result was a packer/feeder margin spread of $321 per head, up $12 from the previous week’s $309.

Beef packer capacity utilization was estimated at 90.2%, down 0.7% from the previous week, with an estimated 655,603 head slaughtered. A year ago packer capacity was estimated at 65.3% with a weekly kill of 474,585 head. Carcass weights this year are running 4 pounds heavier at 834 pounds.

Beef packer margins declined based on a $1 per cwt. decline in the beef cutout to $226.63. A year ago the cutout averaged $241.73. A year ago packer profits were estimated at $490 per head. The Beef and Pork Profit Trackers are calculated by Sterling Marketing Inc., Vale, Ore.

Farrow-to-finish pork producers saw their margins gain $2 per head with positive margins for the seventh consecutive week and total profits of $56 per head. Hog profit margins have increased $36 per head over the past month.

Lean carcass prices traded at $91.68 per cwt., an increase of $2.25 from the previous week, and $20 per cwt. higher than a month ago. A year ago pork producers lost an average of $15 per head.

Pork packer margins averaged a profit of $15 per head, up $8 per head from the previous week and $25 per head lower than last year. Pork packer capacity utilization was estimated at 94.6% compared to 73% a year ago.

Sterling Marketing president John Nalivka projects cash profit margins for cow-calf producers in 2021 will average $125 per cow. For feedyards, Nalivka projects an average profit of $1 per head in 2021, and packer margins are projected to average $304 per head.

For farrow-to-finish pork producers, Nalivka projects 2021 will produces losses of $1 per head. Pork packers are projected to earn $41 per head in 2021.

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