Paul Dykstra

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As you’re contemplating the future impact of today’s genetic decisions, consider the marketability of both feeder calves and potential replacement heifer progeny.
Plowing headlong into spring we’re now observing the impacts of not only smaller weekly slaughter but lighter carcass weights in the north.
With current fed cattle carcass weights 16 lb. lighter than a year ago marbling achievement, on average, is likely to underperform in contrast to the past two years.
From a cash price perspective, both cattle and beef markets continue on a relatively bullish run the past few weeks. Meanwhile, winter weather has hindered feedyard performance this season.
The combination of smaller slaughter totals and lighter carcass weights across all cattle classes have pushed boxed beef values sharply higher.
From a cattlemen’s perspective fed cattle prices have been “just good enough” since the first of the year, only showing some spark as recently as last week with the nearly $3/cwt. move.
Focusing on carcass quality can allow feeder cattle buyers to factor in higher returns based on better-than-projected feedlot performance and/or carcass quality premiums than average.
Diving into 2023, the much-discussed beef cow herd culling comes home to roost, bringing on a supply challenge for the beef industry.
The CAB carcass cutout price has remained resilient into the middle of December, giving up only $5.41/cwt. or 1.9% in the past month.
Cattle feeders capitalized on a tighter supply of market-ready cattle last week, while packers came back with sharply higher bids as they competed to own inventory needed to fulfill boxed beef sales commitments.