Paul Dykstra

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In the waning days ahead of Labor Day spot market beef prices are posting positive numbers, boosting a bit of optimism into the total beef complex.
In the second quarter of 2023, national average carcass quality grades held up especially well considering that carcass weights were 15 to 20 lb. lighter than a year ago in the first quarter.
Cash fed steer prices reached record highs two weeks ago, and the trajectory – fueled by strong demand and restricted head counts – was predestined to hit the seasonal ceiling.
Moving forward, lower quality grades in May and lighter carcass weights combined with shorter fed cattle supplies may be expected, driving premiums into the high-quality cattle and beef markets.
A broad view of recent carcass cutout values shows plenty of strength in wholesale boxed beef prices. To contrast current values to a year ago, CAB and commodity Choice cutouts are 14% higher.
As you’re contemplating the future impact of today’s genetic decisions, consider the marketability of both feeder calves and potential replacement heifer progeny.
Plowing headlong into spring we’re now observing the impacts of not only smaller weekly slaughter but lighter carcass weights in the north.
With current fed cattle carcass weights 16 lb. lighter than a year ago marbling achievement, on average, is likely to underperform in contrast to the past two years.
From a cash price perspective, both cattle and beef markets continue on a relatively bullish run the past few weeks. Meanwhile, winter weather has hindered feedyard performance this season.
The combination of smaller slaughter totals and lighter carcass weights across all cattle classes have pushed boxed beef values sharply higher.