Cattle Inventory Report Reflects Herd Contraction

Especially supportive is the beef replacement category.

While a small cattle/calf inventory was anticipated, USDA’s numbers came in slightly lower than the average trade guess. That gives the report data a friendly tone as the U.S. herd remains the smallest in over a half century.

Also supportive is the beef replacement heifer category, which came in at 100% of year-ago. While that signals cow/calf operators are holding back more heifers than they were, they still are holding back enough to build the herd. And with pasture conditions worsening, it’s likely any plans to expand the herd will be put on hold until the drought is broken.

Semiannual Cattle Inventory Report

USDA

Avg. trade guess

Range

% of year-ago

All cattle & calves

98

98.6

97.9-99.5

Annual calf crop

98

98.4

98.0-99.2

Total Cows/heifers calved

98

98.4

97.8-99.5

beef cows/heifers calved

97

97.9

97.1-99.0

milk cows/heifers calved

100

100.3

99.7-101.0

Heifers 500 lbs. and over

98

99.3

98.7-100.0

Beef replacement heifers

100

101.3

100.6-102.4

Milk replacement heifers

98

99.5

98.8-100.0

Other heifers

97

98.3

96.7-101.0

Steers 500 pounds and over

99

99.2

98.2-100.0

Bulls 500 pounds and over

95

97.1

95.0-99.0

Calves under 500 pounds

97

97.9

97.3-98.5


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