Consider what passersby think when they see your headquarters or machinery on the highway. Do you want them to draw their own conclusions, or do you want to be the one telling the story?
Texas ranchers have 600,000 more cattle and calves than they did two years ago, according to the Texas Cattle Feeders Association. Packing plants have less competition and plenty of cattle to choose from, so they've dropped the amount they're willing to pay for wholesale cattle.
It’s no secret there’s too much meat on the market. Cattle have bounced from the previous lows is because of a tight supply for the next 30 days.
CME cattle futures followed Thursday’s limit up trading with solid gains again in action Friday. The nearby October contract closed up $2.12 at $101.15.
“The market absorbing all of this other meat in the pipeline is going to be a tough task. Given that there is so much cheap pork and chicken out there, there remains some sticker shock at the retail level versus beef," according to Tim Hackbarth of Zaner Ag Hedge.
This month’s numbers continue the trend of increasing heavy placements, with cattle larger than 800 pounds seeing a 21.2% year-over-year increase while cattle less than 600 pounds saw an 8.9% year-over-year decrease in placements.
Last week’s $4-plus rally in cash fed cattle prices cut average feedyard losses in half, leaving the red ink totaling $90 on every animal shipped.
The average retail price of choice beef was $5.915 cents per pound during August. That is down 17.5 cents from the month before, down 41.3 cents from a year ago, and the lowest monthly average since May 2014.
Increased U.S. beef production and lower cattle prices are reversing the trend of recent years, where beef exports decreased as record high prices rationed demand in both domestic and international markets.
U.S. beef production is expected to increase 4 to 4.5 percent in 2016. This follows annual decreases of 5.7 percent in 2014 and 2.3 percent in 2015.
A decline of $5 per cwt in cash fed cattle prices pushed cattle feeding margins $60 per head lower, leaving losses at $120 per head, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker.
There could be a little help from the start of football season as consumers grill for tailgating activities, but beef generally hits a time of reduced interest during the fall months.
Calculations by the Livestock Marketing Information Center put cattle feeding losses at $152 per head for closeouts during July. That made July losses the biggest for any month since February.