Latest From Opinion

Nevil Speer
Speer: Beating The Feedlot Witches Brew

More days on feed means more opportunity for something going wrong – ultimately ending in increased death loss. Preventive illness management before arrival is more important than ever.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Prices Higher for Longer

There’s mounting evidence of a protracted cattle cycle because whatever happens from here, Speer says, next year’s starting cow herd number will be down sharply.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: Record Prices Require Risk Management

Two years of herd liquidation confirm that cattle numbers are extremely tight with record prices the result. Now is the time to plan and manage for your future.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Producer Investment Deserves Straight Talk, Not Misleading Improversation

Despite the misrepresentation from some groups, your beef checkoff has paid huge dividends. And given that producers fund the program, there’s an obligation to portray the program factually. Here are some facts.

Steve Springer
Beef Checkoff’s Producer Communications Efforts Necessary to Shape Current, Future Programs

CBB member and co-chair of the Stakeholder Engagement Committee, Wisconsin cattleman Steve Spinger discusses why the Beef Checkoff invests a small percentage of its funding for Producer Communications.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Cutting Edge of Change

Agriculture is changing rapidly; that inherently creates tension.  However, producers who operate believing “success is within my control” are the ones most likely to succeed amidst the turbulence.

Pat McDowell
Producers Must Put Themselves in Consumers’ Shoes

Our industry is constantly evolving, but today’s consumer is changing even faster. As producers, we must put ourselves in their shoes because we’re ALL consumers at the end of the day.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: Downsizing the U.S. Beef Industry?

Market prices for beef and cattle impact margins and short-term decisions at every level of the supply chain, but decisions concerning long-term financial health are driven by factors that may lead to structural change.

Jennifer Shike
No, He’s Not a Buffalo: Why We Can’t Avoid Their Questions Anymore

“Is this a buffalo?” asked a young 20-ish fairgoer as he stood before the Grand Champion Market Steer in the Hall of Champions at the Illinois State Fair. He looked at me – dead serious – awaiting my response.

Greg Henderson
12 Percent Claim is 100 Percent B.S.

Last week I learned I'm a 12-percenter, and if you're a Drovers reader it is likely you are a 12-percenter, too. That's not good, at least according to those who would regulate our dietary choices.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Bloggers, CME, and Making Sense of Markets

Cattle markets this summer have often provided a wide regional basis with cattle in the North trading well above futures. That's not to be misinterpreted as indicator of a broken market.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Blah-Blah Bloggers and Texas Cattle Feeders

Are southern cattle feeders too passive when marketing cattle? Here’s what the data suggest.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Up-And-To-The-Right

Beef consumption vs, beef demand, a topic that continues to generate confusion. But it should be clear, per-capita consumption, "independent of prices, provides no meaningful information about demand.”

John Nalivka
Nalivka: The Economic Burden of Regulations

The well-defined costs of ranching and farming are often the focus of managing the business, but little watched regulatory costs can often become a burden to business operators.

Angie Meyer
Checkoff-Funded Nutrition and Health Research Must Connect With New Consumer Audiences

The Checkoff is expanding its efforts to reach different consumer audience segments, and through the power of Checkoff-funded nutrition and health research, we’ve unlocked new audience groups.

Jennifer Shike
There’s Just Something About Stock Show Friends

If we are being honest, showing livestock is for crazy people. Late nights, early mornings and little time for social lives. But I think most stock show families would agree they live for summer to do just that.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Not Even Close

Consumption data are often used to mislead and undermine the beef industry’s accomplishments and disparage the Checkoff. But such data in the absence of price data provides zero information about beef’s competitiveness.

Steve Cornett
Cornett: Cowboy Conspiracy Theorists Get ‘Catfished’

Satire regarding instructions packers provide their buyers was published by a popular online newsletter, triggering cowboy conspiracy theorists to bloviate before they investigated. Our ex-reporter has the current facts.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Build It And They WILL Come

Through 30 weeks, the 2023 cattle and beef markets have exceeded even the most bullish of forecasts. How does this year’s cattle market compare to 2014? Price only tells part of the story.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: The Dynamics of Cattle Numbers and Capacity

With estimates of 82% capacity utilization of fed beef plants next year and 65% for cow slaughter plants, Nalivka says, “Rest assured - there will be decisions made.”

Nevil Speer
Speer: Where’s Your Thermostat?

Disciplined hedgers protect themselves against noise and volatility – the very essence of why futures markets exist, and why smart feeders use that tool.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Less Drama, More Factfulness

Whether futures markets are friend or foe often depends on our understanding of those markets and whether we can ignore the drama and use facts to make decisions.

Jennifer Shike
The Company You Keep Matters

“I want you to know the importance of the people you allow into your life,” Ray Perryman said. “The company you keep has absolutely everything to do with where you end up. Be careful who you allow into your life.”

Nevil Speer
Speer: WYSIATI (Don’t Believe Everything You Think)

Further discussion about cattle markets leads our columnist to conclude: producers are “prone to have high confidence in unfounded intuitions” and we often derive conclusions based on incomplete information.

Jack Hubbard
Hubbard: Snakes in the Henhouse

A new tactic by animal rights groups: Infiltrate and co-opt advocacy groups, politicians, and even farmers. "Phony Farm" groups present an ag face but have shared causes, and funders, with animal rights extremists.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: Using Genetic Merit as the Basis for Pricing Feeder Cattle & Calves

The foundation for consumer beef demand is not just quality, but consistent quality.  Consumers want assurances the beef product they purchase today will be of the same quality as the beef they purchased last week.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Free Markets: Obvious, Simple System of Liberty

Record packer margins were the tipping point to attract new capital to the business. There is now angst packer margins will be too low and these new companies won’t survive. But should we encourage government meddling?

Nevil Speer
Speer: Think vs. Know

Higher cattle prices have calmed much of the producer angst about the market not working. Now seems like a good time to analyze how we think about factors that drive prices.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: Cattle Cycle Economics Versus Value-added Marketing

Further processing of value-added products for direct sale to end-user customers in both retail and foodservice will increase over the next five years and help feed the growing global consumer demand.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Markets, Money, and Emotion

Successful ranchers learn to remove emotion from a situation.  They subsequently they double down on the cost management side while also becoming more focused on value-added marketing strategies.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Free Market Doing Its Thing

Solid prices gains are not new to cattle markets. Solid gains have been ongoing for several years and the fed market has roughly doubled over the past 35 months, a clear sign the market is not "broken."

Gene Copenhaver
PRIME Act Poses Risk to Food Safety and Cattle Producers’ Bottom Lines

The PRIME Act would severely jeopardize U.S. meat’s exemplary food safety record and could cripple demand for beef products to the detriment of family cattle farmers, says NCBA Policy Division Chair Gene Copenhaver.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Things That Never Happen, Happen All The Time

Markets may be higher, but there’s inherently more risk with each calf crop over time. That reality means ranchers must implement sound business strategies to ensure successful decision-making going forward.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: The Prominent Role of Packer Capacity in Fed Cattle Markets

As supplies of market-ready cattle have declined, so has beef packer capacity utilization.

Nevil Speer
Speer: OFF Act: Easy Out For Naysayers

A previous column drew producer responses about the OFF Act. Nevil Speer reviews some of the broader themes regarding your Beef Checkoff.

Brett Kenzy
Kenzy: OFF Act Sets New Standards for Government

"It is time for members of Congress to listen to those they truly represent," says R-CALF president Brett Kinzey, "the people whose passion and time is centered on their fields and pastures, not inside the Beltway."

Nevil Speer
Speer: OFF Act Coalition: The Camel and the Tent

One more column on the OFF Act regarding the coalition of groups that have some "dubious partners" with "questionable motives," Speer says.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Beef Checkoff Changed the Game

Checkoff opponents contend the program is failing. So let’s dive into that contention with some added granularity and precision, says Speer.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: On Government and Agriculture

Increasingly, U.S. and global agriculture are rapidly adopting a system driven by government regulations. Such regulatory activity should concern us all.

Todd Wilkinson - NCBA President
Wilkinson: Fight the Animal Rights Groups Infiltrating Our Industry

A misinformation campaign is underway attacking NCBA and endangering the programs that generations of farmers and ranchers worked hard to establish.

Nevil Speer
Speer: EIDs – Signal Versus Noise

USDA’s proposed rule change to the Animal Disease Traceability (ADT) framework has given rise to several recurring arguments which offer confusion and distraction. 

Nevil Speer
Speer: Exports Benefitting Producers – More All The Time

Do beef producers share in the profits gained through international trade? Let's examine the data through the eyes of one of the industry's largest players.

Terry Slaten DVM
‘Thanks for the Facts’ on mCOOL and Checkoff, Reader Says

An Alabama reader responds to a recent columns by Nevil Speer regarding the OFF Act and country-of-origin labeling.

Bill Bullard - R-CALF USA
Bullard: Baffling Argument by an OFF Act Opponent

A recent opinion published on Drovers about the OFF Act (Opportunities for Fairness in Farming) has drawn a response from R-CALF USA CEO Bill Bullard.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: Supply and Use Data

With a lower cattle inventory, per capita consumption will be the lowest since 2015.But while 2023 beef production will be down 6% from last year, it will still be 3 billion pounds greater than 2015.

Nevil Speer
Speer: OFF…Uffda!

The OFF Act (Opportunities for Fairness in Farming) is promoted as a cure for "swampy secrets" about commodity checkoffs. But the accusations evaporate under a review revealing vast misrepresentations and demagoguery.

John Nalivka
Nalivka: The Complexity of Market Economics

Market economics go beyond supply and demand and other key drivers are becoming increasingly meaningful in the current market environment including adjustments to production capacity. 

Nevil Speer
Speer: The OFF Boondoggle

OFF supporters, in their effort to undermine the Beef Checkoff, are touting a meaningless measure – and in turn boondoggle their own credibility. 

Greg Henderson
A Girl, a Goat and the Law: The Shasta County, CA, Boondoggle

How fair officials and the local sheriff, both unencumbered by intelligence, tarnished your image as a livestock producer and created a public relations disaster.

Nevil Speer
Speer: Free Market It Is!

Government intervention, or the free market? An esteemed ag economist implored the beef industry long ago not to “block changes that are being prompted by basic rules of economics.”