Short-Term Lower Temperatures And Rain, But More Heat On The Way

The dog days of summer seem to be in the rearview mirror. As lower-than-recent temperatures fall across the Corn Belt and south, farmers are likely wondering just how long this will last.

“Over the next 10 days or so I think we’re going to be in pretty good shape,” Ed Vallee, Vallee Weather consultant told AgriTalk After the Bell host Chip Flory. “The next seven days especially. We’re going to have areas in the central and northern plains, and even the Midwest, five to at most 15 degrees below normal.”

Areas with the coolest current and upcoming temperatures are Illinois, Iowa, eastern Nebraska, Missouri and southeastern South Dakota. He also expects relief, though not as cool, in Oklahoma, portions of the Delta, the southeast and into the Ohio Valley, as well. Some northeastern areas, even up into Canada, will stay hot.

After six to eight weeks of incredibly hot weather, areas with the current 80-or-so degree days are a welcome change. Vallee expects this cool down to last until around August 5, when some states will start to warm back up.

“If you’re in the south-central portion of the ag belt it’s a pretty good bet that we’re going to get back above normal temperatures,” Vallee said. “I’m not really anticipating those numbers we say in early July. But I definitely do think if you’re in Kansas, Oklahoma, portions of the Delta and even the southern Ohio Valley… we’re going to get back into the 90s.”

More northern states probably won’t see quite as dramatic of a warm up but can expect mid to upper 80s after the first week of August. This includes states in the middle of the Corn Belt such as Iowa and Illinois.

Many states with the worst drought conditions could soon receive needed rain. For some farmers, rain could begin to fall as early as this weekend.

“The next week to 10 days I think the best chance for rain is actually going to be in areas that really need it,” Vallee said. “Potions of southern Nebraska, eastern Kansas and maybe even into portions of central and southern Missouri through the weekend.”

Next week he expects the Ohio Valley area to get rain, and the northwest into the Dakotas and central and northern Corn Belt later in that week.

“As we head into the first few days of August, we might be able to turn on the moisture just a little bit,” he said. “But I still think we’re largely going to be below normal rainfall and above normal temperatures.”